Sorare Tactics

GW 481 J1 League Preview - Draft

Added 2024-05-30 11:04:47 +0000 UTC

Intro

We have 9 J1 league games coming up this weekend!

Note that Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo play tomorrow night so arent part of GW481.

This is also the last games before an international break where Japan will be playing twice. There are still 20 rounds of the J1 league to go so I find that these breaks can give good buying opportunities on targeted guys.

Some family stuff has come up so I am unable to send the draft predicted lineups today. Will send the full lineups tomorrow morning

League Table

Machida continued their great season with a last minute win away to Urawa. Antlers kept up the pressure with a 3-0 away win. Kobe have dropped off the pace with back to back losses, this time a surprise home loss to Verdy.

Gamba are in excellent form and have conceded just 2 goals in their last 6 games. Ichimori has been fantastic and scores very well on SO5 with his sweeper keeper style.

Kyoto picked up their first point in 7 games but remain bottom. They havent won since early March. Sapporo woes continued with another heavy loss.

Fixtures

The below are the fixtures coming up this GW:

For Saturday fixtures we are more likely to get team news on Friday especially from teams like YFM and Antlers.

Main Points

Araki (Hiroshima), Grolli (Fukuoka), Zahedi (Fukuoka), Sasaki (Frontale) are all suspended.
For Hiroshima, I expect Shiotani to return to the back with Nakano and Sasaki. (Shiotani seen in training and no injury)
Mitsuta hasnt started for a few games and atm bench again seems most likely. Could see some tweaks in the setup, should get more intel tomorrow
YFM beat Kashiwa compressively 4-0 with Lopes scoring a hat-trick. Popp went off with a minor injury. Waiting on news about him. There is a quick turnover (2 days) so im assuming hes out. Iikura fav to take over but could change.
They play Kashima this week who have the best home record in the league and in great form.
Shonan have been hit by a couple of injuries. Confirmed that Min Tae and Hata are out. Big losses, should give Sugioka more gametime but other options available. Sugioka was guilty of an cruical error that let Iwata equalise.
Kawasaki remain very unstable. JSR returned and did well. Players like Kurumaya in full training and played practice game, close to returning.
Antlers are the form team having won 6 of their last 7. They have scored in 9 games in a row.
Machida are 6 games since a loss, winning 5 of them. Conceded just 2 goals in that time.
Kyoto have lost all 7 home games this season.

Predicted Lineups

Predicted lineups will come out tomorrow around 8-10 hours before the deadline.

SO5 Analysis

Best xG - Hiroshima (2.2 xG, Machida xG 1.5)

Best CS - Hiroshima (52% CS, Machida 47% CS, Kashiwa 46 CS%

Best Stack - Hiroshima, Machida

Hiroshima have the best fixture according to the bookies. Though I agree its a nice game to target, Hiroshimas form is a slight concern. They have just 1 win in their last 8 games. With players like Mitsuta being benched recently, theres also fewer must have players. I really like Ohashi for this game and will be stacking Sasaki with Osako even though they have yielded less than expected (for now!)

Machida have been playing great all season. Players like Hirakawa, Suzuki, Tani, Oh Se Hun in particular look good here.

Gamba are having a great season relative to recent years. There defense and midfield in particular being very stable. A few players such as Yamada have also returned from injury. I like this fixture again Shonan who have been hit by a few injuries to key players. Players like Ichimori, Nakatani have improving stack potential. Usami along with Sakamoto are offering decent threats. Sadly Welton doesnt have any cards as he has been doing great too.

I also really like Cerezos fixture against Kyoto. Kyoto have lost all 7 home games this season including a recent 5-0 loss. Ceara and Fernandes could have lots of fun here!

In contender, lots of leagues have finished in Europe including Scotland, Germany and Italy. This means J league players and stacks are much more competitive especially with in-season